Smooth like sandpaper.

I normally tend to get a bit wary when things are going too smoothly. For some reason, I have always believed that behind every cloud with a silver lining... is another, gargantuan cloud. A storm cloud to be exact. One that is emitting vast amounts of rain, lightning, hail, snow and other such nonsense. All at once. Maybe I'm a pessimist. Maybe I'm a realist. Maybe it's this kind of thinking that attracts that nasty cloud towards me in the first place. Perhaps its time I bought all my thoughts a good set of raincoats.

I recently read a very interesting article about the flaws within human thinking. One flaw in particular - the Gambler's Fallacy - stated that as humans, we make the mistake of using past occurrences to predict future probabilities. An example being that if one flips a coin, and it lands heads up for a dozen turns in a row, one automatically assumes that the chance of it landing tails up in the next few turns, is very high. This, I am told, is not true. The probability is 50/50. Every time. I have often experienced this flawed thinking (or "flinking" for short) myself and this has left me not only feeling like a jackass but also wondering why I was flipping a coin in the first place. Who still does that?

Applying this to my own life, I can now see that just because things are going smoothly now, doesnt necessarily mean that a rough patch is looming. According to the Gambler's Fallacy, I may be flipping a heads for the rest of my life. No more tails. Great! Smooth sailing ahead forever. Rough times have been banished in these parts for good! Right? Hmm, why am I not convinced?

Anyways, things are really good right now and I'm not complaining. And it's not like there hasn't been ample opportunity for things to go wrong. Even after moving house this week, Telkom managed to re-establish our broadband connection within hours. Yes, you heard right. Hours. Shock, horror. Don't worry, I would not have believed it either if I didn't witness it myself. Things are looking up. Let's just hope they stay up.

Two more sleeps until Oz! Farewell party at Taco Zulu tonight. Let the good times roll!